BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Lake Mills

Class: 2A Class Rank: 52 Conference: (14-2) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   59.14

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2003 Home    L    44.12  53   67   1A   23 (21- 4) Northwood-Kensett     -15.02      1.02                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    W    69.09  58   38   1A   62 (14- 7) Crystal Lake W-CL-T     9.95     10.05                      
  3 12/11/2003 Away    W    51.39  60   44   1A   98 ( 4-18) Manly North Central    -7.75     23.75                      
  4 12/12/2003 Home    W *  49.38  57   42   1A  105 ( 5-18) Mason City Newman      -9.77     24.77                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    W *  72.94  77   54   2A   94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme         13.80      9.20                      
  6 12/22/2003 Home    W *  58.98  49   26   2A  115 ( 2-18) Garner-Hayfield        -0.16     23.16  rescheduled from 12/16/03
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  68.51  55   42   3A   45 (13-10) Forest City             9.36      3.64                      
  8 01/09/2004 Away    W *  61.60  67   63   2A   69 (13-10) Osage                   2.46      1.54                      
  9 01/12/2004 Home    W    59.14  63   48   EX   58 ( 0- 1) Glenville-Emmons MN     0.00     15.00                      
 10 01/16/2004 Home    W *  57.04  58   48   1A   55 (12-10) North Iowa             -2.10     12.10                      
 11 01/19/2004 Home    W *  57.04  57   44   2A   98 ( 8-12) Britt West Hancock     -2.11     15.11                      
 12 01/23/2004 Away    W *  61.30  60   37   1A  105 ( 5-18) Mason City Newman       2.15     20.85                      
 13 01/27/2004 Away    W *  59.96  58   46   2A   98 ( 8-12) Britt West Hancock      0.81     11.19                      
 14 01/30/2004 Away    W *  56.90  51   34   2A  115 ( 2-18) Garner-Hayfield        -2.24     19.24                      
 15 02/06/2004 Away    L *  49.43  53   63   3A   45 (13-10) Forest City            -9.72     -0.28                      
 16 02/09/2004 Home    W *  64.02  65   47   2A   94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme          4.88     13.12  rescheduled from 02/03/04
 17 02/10/2004 Home    W *  62.68  71   62   2A   69 (13-10) Osage                   3.54      5.46                      
 18 02/13/2004 Away    L *  47.96  52   55   1A   55 (12-10) North Iowa            -11.18      8.18                      
 19 02/14/2004 Away    W    58.31  64   54   3A   61 ( 2-20) Estherville LC         -0.84     10.84                      
 20 02/17/2004 Away    L    50.05  44   48   1A   47 (14- 7) North Kossuth          -9.10      5.10                      
 21 02/21/2004 Home    W    57.80  64   41   1A  101 ( 3-19) Armstrong-Ringsted     -1.34     24.34                      
 22 02/23/2004 Home    W *  66.98  71   40   2A  115 ( 2-18) Garner-Hayfield         7.84     23.16                      
 23 02/26/2004 Home    W *  66.02  53   33   2A   94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme          6.88     13.12                      
 24 03/02/2004 Neutral L    68.80  52   63   2A    4 (26- 2) Fort Dodge St Edmond    9.65    -20.65                      
      Averages              59.14  58.8 47.5

Best game:   72.94 = 23 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Worst game:  44.12 = 14 point loss to Northwood-Kensett
Team stdev:   7.59